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ES Pre-Open Brief — Tuesday, 25 August 2026

25 Aug 2026·ES · SPX

Generated Tue 25 Aug, 13:05 WEST · E-mini S&P 500 (ES1!) · Levels from delayed CME feed; completed session & higher-timeframe ranges are final.

Technicals — Key Levels

Last: 7704.00

Timeframe High Low
Weekly (developing) 7714.00 7655.00
Weekly (prior) 7824.50 7657.75
Daily (prior) 7703.25 7655.00
4H (last completed) 7714.00 7680.00
Asia (01:00–05:00 Lisbon time) 7678.75 7660.25
London (07:00–10:00 Lisbon time) 7699.75 7680.00

Map for the session: ES sits at 7704, comfortably above both the Asia range (7660.25–7678.75) and the London range (7680–7699.75), signalling steady overnight buying into the open. Price is now pressing into the top of the 4H range (7693–7710) and trading just under the weekly/daily high at 7714 — a level that has capped price on both the daily and 4H prior ranges, making it the key upside pivot for the session. Below, the 4H current low (7693) and London low (7680) mark the first layers of support if the advance stalls.

Fundamentals

  • Data docket: June S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home prices at 9:00am ET, then July new home sales and August Conference Board consumer confidence at 10:00am ET; July PCE inflation follows tomorrow.
  • Fed’s Jackson Hole symposium is in focus this week, with markets bracing for Chair Kevin Warsh’s keynote for fresh policy signal ahead of the September FOMC.
  • Nvidia reports Wednesday after the close — the week’s dominant catalyst — keeping broad positioning cautious into the print; Dick’s Sporting Goods sank ~13% pre-market today after missing Q2 estimates and cutting guidance.
  • Geopolitical overhang: Treasury expanded sanctions on Iran, which has vowed retaliation — a headline risk that could inject volatility into an otherwise data/earnings-driven tape.

Bias

The higher-timeframe structure remains constructive while ES holds above the London/4H low cluster near 7680–7693, with buyers having reclaimed the overnight ranges cleanly. The decisive level is 7714 — the shared weekly and daily high — and a clean break there opens room for continuation; failure to clear it, especially with Nvidia earnings and the Jackson Hole speech still ahead, argues for a rangebound chop back toward 7693/7680 as positioning stays defensive into the catalysts. Net lean: mildly bullish above 7693, neutral-to-cautious below it, with 7714 as the line in the sand.

Analysis for educational purposes; not financial advice.