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ES Pre-Open Brief — Thursday, 27 August 2026

27 Aug 2026·ES · SPX

Generated Thu 27 Aug, 15:40 WEST · E-mini S&P 500 (ES1!) · Levels from delayed CME feed; completed session & higher-timeframe ranges are final.

Technicals — Key Levels

Last: 7725.75

Timeframe High Low
Weekly (developing) 7741.25 7655.00
Weekly (prior) 7824.50 7657.75
Daily (prior) 7710.25 7670.75
4H (last completed) 7729.75 7702.75
Asia (01:00–05:00 Lisbon time) 7739.25 7714.50
London (07:00–10:00 Lisbon time) 7734.50 7707.00

Map for the session: ES is trading 7725.75, tucked inside the 4H range (7712 / 7732.25) and comfortably within London’s 7707–7734.5 box. The 7741.25 level is doing double duty as both the weekly and daily high, so a push through it would be a genuine breakout, not just a local high; on the downside, daily support at 7702.75 lines up close to the Asia low (7714.5) as the first cushion before the weekly low way down at 7655. With price mid-range and below the shared weekly/daily ceiling, the path of least resistance into the open is a fade of the extremes until 7741.25 or 7702.75 gives way.

Fundamentals

  • Nvidia’s after-the-bell beat on Wednesday, with CFO Colette Kress flagging strong sales growth into fiscal 2028, is the dominant driver — futures are tech-led higher into the open (ES +0.35%, NQ +0.66%) while the Dow lags.
  • Weekly initial jobless claims (week ending Aug 22) print at 8:30am ET/1:30pm Lisbon, alongside wholesale inventories — the main data risk left on the calendar after Wednesday’s GDP/durable goods/personal income cluster.
  • Heavy earnings docket today: Marvell Technology, Autodesk, Workday, Affirm, Best Buy, Dollar Tree, Dollar General, Burlington and Ulta all report, giving retail and software crosscurrents alongside the Nvidia-driven semis bid.
  • Rates stay a background swing factor with the 10-year at 4.66% and the 2-year at 4.22%; watch for headlines out of this week’s Fed speaker circuit for any repricing of the September path.

Bias

Higher-timeframe structure is still constructive — price holding above the 7702.75/Asia-low shelf keeps the bull case for a retest of 7741.25 (weekly/daily high) intact, and Nvidia’s guidance gives the tape a fundamental tailwind to work with. The decision level is 7741.25: acceptance above flips this into trend-day territory targeting fresh highs, while rejection there with a slip back under 7712 (4H low) would tilt the session back toward 7702.75 and open the door to a deeper mean-reversion toward the weekly low at 7655. Until 7741.25 breaks, treat the range as the operating box.

Analysis for educational purposes; not financial advice.